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. 2021:37:2318-2320.
doi: 10.1016/j.matpr.2020.07.731. Epub 2020 Aug 11.

Model for prediction of death rate due to COVID-19 transmission and required precautions

Affiliations

Model for prediction of death rate due to COVID-19 transmission and required precautions

Atul P Singh. Mater Today Proc. 2021.

Abstract

Study has been carried out to monitor the progression of COVID-19 and prediction of deceased in a period of time. To get this parameter, three parameters related COVID-19 infected persons such as total infected, recovered and deceased persons have been covered. A Multivariate Regression Model was developed to predict the Number of Deceased Persons based on the data available for Number of Infected and Recovered Persons. On the basis of graph plots, it observed that numbers of factors are important to the transmission of corona virus and among all if temperature is an important parameter then it will be hard time for humid states especially South Asian countries.

Keywords: COVID-19; Death rate; Precautions; Prediction; Transmission.

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Conflict of interest statement

The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Transmission graph of COVID-19 since 25th January 2020.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Covid-19 impact graph (T1 = total infected persons, T2 = recovered persons, T3 = deceased).

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References

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    1. Health Commission of Hubei Province, China
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