Climate Change and Cascading Risks from Infectious Disease
- PMID: 35585385
- PMCID: PMC9334478
- DOI: 10.1007/s40121-022-00647-3
Climate Change and Cascading Risks from Infectious Disease
Abstract
Climate change is adversely affecting the burden of infectious disease throughout the world, which is a health security threat. Climate-sensitive infectious disease includes vector-borne diseases such as malaria, whose transmission potential is expected to increase because of enhanced climatic suitability for the mosquito vector in Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, and South America. Climatic suitability for the mosquitoes that can carry dengue, Zika, and chikungunya is also likely to increase, facilitating further increases in the geographic range and longer transmission seasons, and raising concern for expansion of these diseases into temperate zones, particularly under higher greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Early spring temperatures in 2018 seem to have contributed to the early onset and extensive West Nile virus outbreak in Europe, a pathogen expected to expand further beyond its current distribution, due to a warming climate. As for tick-borne diseases, climate change is projected to continue to contribute to the spread of Lyme disease and tick-borne encephalitis, particularly in North America and Europe. Schistosomiasis is a water-borne disease and public health concern in Africa, Latin America, the Middle East, and Southeast Asia; climate change is anticipated to change its distribution, with both expansions and contractions expected. Other water-borne diseases that cause diarrheal diseases have declined significantly over the last decades owing to socioeconomic development and public health measures but changes in climate can reverse some of these positive developments. Weather and climate events, population movement, land use changes, urbanization, global trade, and other drivers can catalyze a succession of secondary events that can lead to a range of health impacts, including infectious disease outbreaks. These cascading risk pathways of causally connected events can result in large-scale outbreaks and affect society at large. We review climatic and other cascading drivers of infectious disease with projections under different climate change scenarios. Supplementary file1 (MP4 328467 KB).
Keywords: Cascading risks; Chikungunya; Climate change; Dengue; Exposure; Hazard; Infectious diseases; Lyme disease; Malaria; Vulnerability.
© 2022. The Author(s).
Figures
Similar articles
-
Climate change and infectious disease in Europe: Impact, projection and adaptation.Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2021 Oct;9:100230. doi: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2021.100230. Epub 2021 Oct 7. Lancet Reg Health Eur. 2021. PMID: 34664039 Free PMC article. Review.
-
Potential impact of climate change on emerging vector-borne and other infections in the UK.Environ Health. 2017 Dec 5;16(Suppl 1):112. doi: 10.1186/s12940-017-0326-1. Environ Health. 2017. PMID: 29219091 Free PMC article. Review.
-
Vector-borne diseases and climate change: a European perspective.FEMS Microbiol Lett. 2018 Feb 1;365(2):fnx244. doi: 10.1093/femsle/fnx244. FEMS Microbiol Lett. 2018. PMID: 29149298 Free PMC article. Review.
-
Climate change effects on Chikungunya transmission in Europe: geospatial analysis of vector's climatic suitability and virus' temperature requirements.Int J Health Geogr. 2013 Nov 12;12:51. doi: 10.1186/1476-072X-12-51. Int J Health Geogr. 2013. PMID: 24219507 Free PMC article.
-
Climate changes, environment and infection: facts, scenarios and growing awareness from the public health community within Europe.Anaerobe. 2011 Dec;17(6):337-40. doi: 10.1016/j.anaerobe.2011.05.016. Epub 2011 Jun 2. Anaerobe. 2011. PMID: 21664978
Cited by
-
Zika virus infection suppresses CYP24A1 and CAMP expression in human monocytes.Arch Virol. 2024 Jun 6;169(7):135. doi: 10.1007/s00705-024-06050-2. Arch Virol. 2024. PMID: 38839691 Free PMC article.
-
Assessing the Vulnerability and Adaptation Needs of Mozambique's Health Sector to Climate: A Comprehensive Study.Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2024 Apr 25;21(5):532. doi: 10.3390/ijerph21050532. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2024. PMID: 38791752 Free PMC article.
-
Alike but not the same: Psychological profiles of COVID-19 vaccine skeptics.Health Psychol Open. 2024 Apr 25;11:20551029241248757. doi: 10.1177/20551029241248757. eCollection 2024 Jan-Dec. Health Psychol Open. 2024. PMID: 38681211 Free PMC article.
-
Current Status of Malaria Control and Elimination in Africa: Epidemiology, Diagnosis, Treatment, Progress and Challenges.J Epidemiol Glob Health. 2024 Apr 24. doi: 10.1007/s44197-024-00228-2. Online ahead of print. J Epidemiol Glob Health. 2024. PMID: 38656731 Review.
-
Climate change and its impact on infectious diseases in Asia.Singapore Med J. 2024 Apr 1;65(4):211-219. doi: 10.4103/singaporemedj.SMJ-2023-180. Epub 2024 Apr 23. Singapore Med J. 2024. PMID: 38650059 Free PMC article. Review.
References
-
- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Sixth assessment report; climate change 2021: the physical science basis. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/#SPM. Accessed 17 Apr 2022.
-
- The impacts of climate change on human health in the United States: a scientific assessment. https://health2016.globalchange.gov/. Accessed 1 Dec 2021.
-
- Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). https://www.ipcc.ch/report/sixth-assessment-report-working-group-ii/. Accessed 17 Apr 2022.
Publication types
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources
Research Materials