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. 2011;6(12):e29301.
doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0029301. Epub 2011 Dec 20.

Prevalence of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus antibodies, Tampa Bay Florida--November-December, 2009

Affiliations

Prevalence of 2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus antibodies, Tampa Bay Florida--November-December, 2009

Chad M Cox et al. PLoS One. 2011.

Abstract

Background: In 2009, a novel influenza virus (2009 pandemic influenza A (H1N1) virus (pH1N1)) caused significant disease in the United States. Most states, including Florida, experienced a large fall wave of disease from September through November, after which disease activity decreased substantially. We determined the prevalence of antibodies due to the pH1N1 virus in Florida after influenza activity had peaked and estimated the proportion of the population infected with pH1N1 virus during the pandemic.

Methods: During November-December 2009, we collected leftover serum from a blood bank, a pediatric children's hospital and a pediatric outpatient clinic in Tampa Bay Florida. Serum was tested for pH1N1 virus antibodies using the hemagglutination-inhibition (HI) assay. HI titers ≥40 were considered seropositive. We adjusted seroprevalence results to account for previously established HI assay specificity and sensitivity and employed a simple statistical model to estimate the proportion of seropositivity due to pH1N1 virus infection and vaccination.

Results: During the study time period, the overall seroprevalence in Tampa Bay, Florida was 25%, increasing to 30% after adjusting for HI assay sensitivity and specificity. We estimated that 5.9% of the population had vaccine-induced seropositivity while 25% had seropositivity secondary to pH1N1 virus infection. The highest cumulative incidence of pH1N1 virus infection was among children aged 5-17 years (53%) and young adults aged 18-24 years (47%), while adults aged ≥50 years had the lowest cumulative incidence (11-13%) of pH1N1 virus infection.

Conclusions: After the peak of the fall wave of the pandemic, an estimated one quarter of the Tampa Bay population had been infected with the pH1N1 virus. Consistent with epidemiologic trends observed during the pandemic, the highest burdens of disease were among school-aged children and young adults.

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Conflict of interest statement

Competing Interests: JMK received support for research studies not related to the work described in this manuscript from Juvaris, Inc, Nobilon-Merck Sharp and Dohme and GlaxoSmithKline in the previous 3 years. This does not alter the authors' adherence to all the PLoS ONE policies on sharing data and materials. All other authors have declared that no competing interests exist.

Figures

Figure 1
Figure 1. Percentage of Emergency Department (ED) visits for influenza-like illness (ILI)*, Florida Electronic Surveillance System for the Early Notification of Community-based Epidemic (ESSENCE), and time period of serum collection for seroprevalence survey —Tampa Bay Florida**— April 2009–January 2010.
*Influenza-like illness (ILI) is defined as fever (≥100°F) accompanied by either cough or sore throat **Includes Hillsborough, Manatee, Pinellas and Pasco counties.
Figure 2
Figure 2. Reverse cumulative distribution curve of geometric mean HI titers for study samples, Tampa Bay, Florida – November-December 2009.
Figure 3
Figure 3. Estimated proportion of the population with pH1N1 virus infection — Tampa Bay, Florida – November-December 2009.
*Estimate of total cumulative incidence is age-standardized.

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